Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.003828 0.004025 0.004227 0.004450 0.004689 0.004939 0.005219
2025-06-29 0.003485 0.003778 0.004090 0.004451 0.004856 0.005299 0.005823
2025-07-06 0.003178 0.003512 0.003877 0.004311 0.004814 0.005383 0.006079
2025-07-13 0.003023 0.003394 0.003810 0.004315 0.004916 0.005615 0.006498
2025-07-20 0.002933 0.003339 0.003803 0.004380 0.005082 0.005920 0.007011
2025-07-27 0.002800 0.003224 0.003716 0.004338 0.005112 0.006055 0.007314
2025-08-03 0.002690 0.003128 0.003645 0.004309 0.005149 0.006195 0.007623
2025-08-10 0.002589 0.003039 0.003576 0.004275 0.005175 0.006317 0.007910
2025-08-17 0.002549 0.003020 0.003591 0.004345 0.005334 0.006613 0.008443
2025-08-24 0.002473 0.002953 0.003542 0.004329 0.005377 0.006758 0.008772
2025-08-31 0.002397 0.002883 0.003485 0.004300 0.005400 0.006871 0.009061
2025-09-07 0.002315 0.002802 0.003410 0.004242 0.005378 0.006922 0.009259
2025-09-14 0.002236 0.002723 0.003337 0.004185 0.005358 0.006974 0.009465
2025-09-21 0.002187 0.002680 0.003309 0.004187 0.005419 0.007142 0.009853
2025-09-28 0.002088 0.002571 0.003189 0.004059 0.005290 0.007031 0.009807
2025-10-05 0.002046 0.002535 0.003165 0.004063 0.005348 0.007192 0.010189
2025-10-12 0.002029 0.002529 0.003182 0.004122 0.005486 0.007479 0.010785
2025-10-19 0.001976 0.002476 0.003132 0.004084 0.005481 0.007547 0.011031
2025-10-26 0.001930 0.002430 0.003090 0.004057 0.005490 0.007636 0.011315
2025-11-02 0.001885 0.002383 0.003047 0.004026 0.005491 0.007711 0.011580
2025-11-09 0.001875 0.002385 0.003070 0.004090 0.005638 0.008022 0.012267
2025-11-16 0.001839 0.002349 0.003039 0.004076 0.005663 0.008139 0.012620
2025-11-23 0.001800 0.002310 0.003002 0.004049 0.005668 0.008221 0.012915